2021 Guidance - Analyzing risks and determining the most likely evolution of the humanitarian situation

Original publication date
06.10.2020 00:00
This guidance outlines key steps for analysing risks and determining the most likely evolution of the humanitarian situation when developing an HNO. The analytical outputs should help to plan for the most likely scenario in the foreseeable future and inform the response analysis and targeting steps in the HRP. This note complements the HPC step-by-step guidance and HNO annotated template (Chapter II) and is based on a review of existing practice and policy.
Document type
HPC document repository
Predictive and Risk Analysis
Response Analysis and Planning
Humanitarian Response Plan (HRP)
Humanitarian Needs Overview (HNO)
Needs Assessment and Analysis
Population types
All affected population